Roughly half, 49%, say Trump should wait so that whoever wins the election can nominate Ginsburg’s replacement. Another 36% say he should immediately nominate a replacement. They say, 44% to 37%, that presidents in the final year of their term should generally wait until after the election to handle any Supreme Court vacancies.Read more
Let’s state it up front: winning the popular vote means nothing in and of itself. You only become president if you win the Electoral College.
That said, the national polling matters a lot. We have a ton of it, unlike in a number of swing states. It’s more accurate than the state polling on average. Most importantly, we have a fairly good idea of what Biden’s margin needs to be nationally in order to win in the Electoral College.Read more
Right now, Democrats and liberal groups are releasing a lot more surveys than Republicans, which suggests the public polling showing Democrats doing well is backed up by what the parties are seeing in their own numbers.Read more
Elizabeth Warren wins this week’s straw poll, hopefully not
the last one she’s in, while Joe Biden surges past Bernie Sanders
to nab the second spot.
3/2 2/18 Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Mike Bloomberg